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Pakistan's cowardly withdrawal from the Simla Agreement; What Will Be the Impact on Bilateral Relations?

Pakistan’s suspension of the 1972 Simla Agreement marks a setback in India-Pakistan peace efforts.

Pragati Chougule

The Simla Agreement, signed on July 2, 1972, between India and Pakistan, was a landmark peace treaty aimed at resolving conflicts through bilateral negotiations and establishing durable peace after the 1971 Indo-Pak war. It transformed the ceasefire line in Jammu and Kashmir into the Line of Control (LoC) and committed both nations to respect each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity without third-party intervention.

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However, in a recent and alarming development, Pakistan has formally suspended the Simla Agreement, citing India’s alleged support for terrorism and cross-border actions as justification. This move is widely seen as a retreat from diplomatic norms and a setback for peace efforts in the region.

What Is the Simla Agreement?

The Simla Agreement was signed by then Indian Prime Minister Indira Gandhi and Pakistani President Zulfikar Ali Bhutto after the 1971 war that led to the creation of Bangladesh. Its core principles included:

  • Resolving disputes peacefully through bilateral dialogue without involving third parties.

  • Respecting the LoC as the de facto border and refraining from unilateral changes.

  • Committing to non-interference in each other’s internal affairs.

  • Normalizing diplomatic relations and repatriating prisoners of war.

Pakistan’s decision to suspend the agreement is viewed by many experts as a “cowardly” act that undermines decades of diplomatic progress. By walking away from a treaty that has provided a framework for dialogue and conflict management, Pakistan risks escalating tensions and destabilizing the region further.

This suspension follows India’s recent suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty and other retaliatory measures after the Pahalgam terror attack, which India attributes to Pakistan-based militant groups. Pakistan’s move includes closing the Wagah border, blocking Indian airspace, and halting trade, signaling a sharp deterioration in bilateral ties.

Impact on Bilateral Relations

The suspension of the Simla Agreement has serious implications:

  • Diplomatic Breakdown: It signals a breakdown in the foundational framework for peaceful resolution, potentially closing channels for dialogue.

  • Increased Militarization: Without the treaty’s constraints, India may exercise greater military options along the LoC without violating the agreement, possibly leading to escalated conflict.

  • International Concerns: The move raises alarms globally about stability in South Asia, especially given both nations’ nuclear capabilities.

  • Kashmir Dispute: Pakistan’s suspension weakens its diplomatic position on Kashmir, as the agreement emphasized bilateral resolution without third-party involvement.

India maintains that the Kashmir issue is a bilateral matter as per the Simla Agreement and rejects any external interference. With Pakistan’s suspension, India is likely to strengthen its security posture and diplomatic efforts to isolate Pakistan internationally.

Experts suggest that despite Pakistan’s withdrawal, India can continue to uphold the principles of peaceful dialogue while preparing for all contingencies. The international community is expected to urge restraint and encourage renewed negotiations.

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